EdgeXI
Research · Statistical notes

Data before opinion.

Statistical research notes on T20 cricket: methodology, league analysis, and findings from EdgeXI's machine learning models. No punditry. No predictions posted here.

Tablet displaying rows of financial market prices and percentage changes on a dark screen
30 March 2026

Why sportsbooks limit accounts: what systematic bettors need to know

Bookmakers are risk businesses. They limit accounts that consistently beat their prices. Here is how professional syndicates manage that reality, and what recreational bettors can learn from it.

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Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, packed with spectators under floodlights at night
23 March 2026

IPL 2026 Starts in Five Days. Here Is What to Expect From EdgeXI.

A breakdown of IPL 2025 from the data, what it tells us going into 2026, and how EdgeXI operates during the season.

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IPL cricket stadium during a warm-up session, colourful and busy
16 March 2026

Why Strike Rate Isn't Enough: The Case for Runs Per Resource in T20 Analysis

Strike rate is the default T20 batting metric. It is also context-blind. Here is what we use instead.

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A cricket match in progress at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, under floodlights
9 March 2026

The Hot Hand in T20 Cricket: Fallacy or Signal?

Bettors consistently overweight recent form. The data on T20 cricket suggests they should not.

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Rising line graph on dark screen showing cumulative data over time
2 March 2026

Understanding our returns: retail sportsbooks vs. exchanges

The ROI figures we publish are calculated on retail sportsbook odds. Here is what that means, why exchange and sharp book returns differ, and how to read our data correctly.

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Night match at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai — home of the Mumbai Indians in the IPL
28 February 2026

How EdgeXI's Machine Learning Models Work — and What They Don't Do

Our machine learning models output probability estimates, not predictions. Understanding the difference — and the limits of what any model can do — is central to using EdgeXI's research well.

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Cricket match in progress at Galle International Stadium, Sri Lanka
22 February 2026

Predictive vs. Descriptive: The Statistical Framework Behind Cricket Prediction

Most cricket statistics describe what has already happened. Predictive modelling does something harder — it estimates what will happen next, and the distinction shapes everything about how we build our models.

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Computer screen displaying colourful code snippets in a dark editor
16 February 2026

AI or Machine Learning? The Distinction Matters in Cricket Prediction

The word 'AI' is used to describe almost everything now. What EdgeXI actually uses is machine learning, and that distinction matters more than it might seem.

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Batter defending at the crease with wicketkeeper behind the stumps
9 February 2026

What Nothing Reveals: The Dot Ball as a Predictive Signal

A dot ball scores nothing. But in T20 cricket, the accumulation of dots is one of the cleaner signals available for estimating bowling effectiveness and match-level pressure dynamics.

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Wankhede Stadium lit up at night during an IPL match, full crowd in the stands
2 February 2026

Why Cricket Produces Better Prediction Models Than Almost Any Other Sport

The data structure of T20 cricket is unusually well-suited to statistical modelling. Here is why, and what it means for the quality of predictions you can build from it.

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